Overview

Season 2026 · Week 3 · generated Sep 28, 2026 · 20:07 UTC · static snapshot — rerun pool export-html and push to refresh

SPM

Eliminated

SPM 2

400

Active

SPM 3

480

Active

My Entries

Season 2026 · Week 3

SPM 0 pts

Game log

Wk	Game	Side	Pick	Bet	Result	Points
1	Atlanta @ Pittsburgh	away	LOSS	120	Win	270
2	Indianapolis @ Kansas City	away	LOSS	270	Win	540
3	Seattle @ Washington	away	WIN	540	Loss	0
4	Indianapolis @ Washington	away	—	—	Pending	—
5	Detroit @ Arizona	away	—	—	Pending	—
6	Baltimore @ Cleveland	away	—	—	Pending	—
7	San Francisco @ Atlanta	away	—	—	Pending	—
8	New England @ Miami	away	—	—	Pending	—
9	Las Vegas @ San Francisco	away	—	—	Pending	—
10	Miami @ Indianapolis	away	—	—	Pending	—
11	NY Jets @ LA Chargers	away	—	—	Pending	—
12	New England @ LA Chargers	away	—	—	Pending	—
13	Kansas City @ LA Rams	away	—	—	Pending	—
14	NY Giants @ Seattle	away	—	—	Pending	—
15	NY Jets @ Arizona	away	—	—	Pending	—
16	Tennessee @ Las Vegas	away	—	—	Pending	—
17	Baltimore @ Cincinnati	away	—	—	Pending	—

This week’s pick

Seattle @ Washington · you: away · −7.5 (fav)

WIN

Current stack: 0 pts

Recommended stake

0 pts

Recommended pick: WIN. Moneyline-derived win probability 79%; stake sized at 115% of stack (57% would be full Kelly at this edge, scaled by the aggression setting — over 100% means this is deliberately betting past full Kelly). WIN EV +0.57/pt vs LOSS -0.49/pt — compares linear point EV only, not full tournament payout strategy.

0.0%P(1st)

0.0%P(top 3)

0.0%P(top 10)

$0.00Expected payout

SPM 2 400 pts

Game log

Wk	Game	Side	Pick	Bet	Result	Points
1	Buffalo @ Houston	away	WIN	50	Win	200
2	Pittsburgh @ New England	away	LOSS	200	Win	400
3	Philadelphia @ Chicago	away	WIN	300	Pending	—
4	LA Chargers @ Seattle	away	—	—	Pending	—
5	Las Vegas @ New England	away	—	—	Pending	—
6	Seattle @ Denver	away	—	—	Pending	—
7	San Francisco @ Atlanta	away	—	—	Pending	—
8	Cleveland @ Pittsburgh	away	—	—	Pending	—
9	Arizona @ Seattle	away	—	—	Pending	—
10	Buffalo @ NY Jets	away	—	—	Pending	—
11	Tampa Bay @ Detroit	away	—	—	Pending	—
12	New England @ LA Chargers	away	—	—	Pending	—
13	Detroit @ Atlanta	away	—	—	Pending	—
14	Tennessee @ Detroit	away	—	—	Pending	—
15	Miami @ Green Bay	away	—	—	Pending	—
16	Buffalo @ Denver	away	—	—	Pending	—
17	Kansas City @ LA Chargers	away	—	—	Pending	—

This week’s pick

Philadelphia @ Chicago · you: away · −4.5 (fav)

WIN

Current stack: 400 pts

Recommended stake

320 pts

Recommended pick: WIN. Moneyline-derived win probability 70%; stake sized at 79% of stack (39% would be full Kelly at this edge, scaled by the aggression setting — over 100% means this is deliberately betting past full Kelly). WIN EV +0.39/pt vs LOSS -0.31/pt — compares linear point EV only, not full tournament payout strategy.

1.9%P(1st)

2.1%P(top 3)

2.8%P(top 10)

$42.07Expected payout

SPM 3 480 pts

Game log

Wk	Game	Side	Pick	Bet	Result	Points
1	NY Jets @ Tennessee	away	WIN	30	Win	180
2	Jacksonville @ Denver	away	LOSS	100	Win	280
3	Tennessee @ NY Giants	away	LOSS	200	Win	480
4	New England @ Buffalo	away	—	—	Pending	—
5	Denver @ LA Chargers	away	—	—	Pending	—
6	Tennessee @ Indianapolis	away	—	—	Pending	—
7	Dallas @ Philadelphia	away	—	—	Pending	—
8	Kansas City @ Denver	away	—	—	Pending	—
9	LA Rams @ Washington	away	—	—	Pending	—
10	Miami @ Indianapolis	away	—	—	Pending	—
11	Indianapolis @ Houston	away	—	—	Pending	—
12	Las Vegas @ Cleveland	away	—	—	Pending	—
13	Houston @ Pittsburgh	away	—	—	Pending	—
14	LA Chargers @ Las Vegas	away	—	—	Pending	—
15	New Orleans @ Tampa Bay	away	—	—	Pending	—
16	San Francisco @ Kansas City	away	—	—	Pending	—
17	Buffalo @ Miami	away	—	—	Pending	—

This week’s pick

Tennessee @ NY Giants · you: away · +2.5 (dog)

LOSS

Current stack: 480 pts

Recommended stake

160 pts

Recommended pick: LOSS. Moneyline-derived win probability 58%; stake sized at 33% of stack (17% would be full Kelly at this edge, scaled by the aggression setting — over 100% means this is deliberately betting past full Kelly). LOSS EV +0.17/pt vs WIN -0.08/pt — compares linear point EV only, not full tournament payout strategy.

9.8%P(1st)

18.2%P(top 3)

29.2%P(top 10)

$297.39Expected payout

Field

Season 2026 · Week 3

Bold = declared pick/bet, directly observed. Plain = a guess reconstructed from the week's point change (no declaration on file).

Entry	Game	Prev	Cur	Δ	Pick / bet
007 Postman	Tennessee@NY Giants	75.0	—	—	—
01 Sportsbet	Baltimore@Dallas	300.0	400.0	100.0	WIN 100
123 Powertrain2	Kansas City@Miami	200.0	300.0	100.0	WIN 300
3 Ring Circua	Atlanta@Green Bay	175.0	200.0	25.0	LOSS 35
64Browns	New England@Jacksonville	225.0	205.0	-20.0	LOSS 75
ABFinSFL	Las Vegas@New Orleans	175.0	250.0	75.0	LOSS 50
AOK	Cincinnati@Pittsburgh	265.0	65.0	-200.0	WIN 65
AOK2	LA Chargers@Buffalo	125.0	150.0	25.0	LOSS 150
AOK3	NY Jets@Detroit	100.0	200.0	100.0	LOSS 150
Always Hot	LA Chargers@Buffalo	200.0	300.0	100.0	LOSS 200
Alwayscold	NY Jets@Detroit	250.0	300.0	50.0	LOSS 50
Angelz N Da Endzone	Seattle@Washington	100.0	120.0	20.0	WIN 30
Aprils Best Guess	Atlanta@Green Bay	180.0	150.0	-30.0	LOSS 20
BIG BLUE	Arizona@San Francisco	175.0	275.0	100.0	LOSS 200
Balls Deep	Minnesota@Tampa Bay	175.0	150.0	-25.0	LOSS 25
Bandit 1	Baltimore@Dallas	200.0	300.0	100.0	WIN 200
Bedel	LA Chargers@Buffalo	200.0	125.0	-75.0	LOSS 75
Berea Braves	Cincinnati@Pittsburgh	242.0	167.0	-75.0	WIN 55
BigBen4Life	Minnesota@Tampa Bay	175.0	250.0	75.0	WIN 75
Bigbert52	Kansas City@Miami	130.0	150.0	20.0	WIN 100
BitterBrownsFan	LA Rams@Denver	220.0	180.0	-40.0	WIN 30
Boba Fett	Baltimore@Dallas	50.0	100.0	50.0	LOSS 100
Brians Team	Kansas City@Miami	200.0	150.0	-50.0	WIN 150
Brooksie1	NY Jets@Detroit	200.0	250.0	50.0	LOSS 250
Brooksie2	Atlanta@Green Bay	180.0	210.0	30.0	LOSS 150
Browns 1	Kansas City@Miami	200.0	250.0	50.0	WIN 250
Browns 2	LA Rams@Denver	200.0	400.0	200.0	WIN 50
BubbleheadsBrownsFan	Houston@Indianapolis	170.0	200.0	30.0	WIN 30
BubbleheadsBrownsFan2	NY Jets@Detroit	130.0	160.0	30.0	LOSS 40
BubbleheadsBrownsFan3	Carolina@Cleveland	200.0	—	—	—
CHICA	Atlanta@Green Bay	225.0	275.0	50.0	LOSS 75
CLE PainCave1	Philadelphia@Chicago	250.0	400.0	150.0	WIN 400
CLE PainCave2	LA Chargers@Buffalo	—	—	—	—
Camp Mayflower 1	Atlanta@Green Bay	300.0	250.0	-50.0	LOSS 250
Camp Mayflower 2	Baltimore@Dallas	175.0	200.0	25.0	WIN 50
Cash Daddio	Baltimore@Dallas	100.0	150.0	50.0	WIN 50
CeeDees Nuts	Tennessee@NY Giants	130.0	170.0	40.0	LOSS 45
Cheer Up Sleepy Jean	Las Vegas@New Orleans	75.0	150.0	75.0	LOSS 50
CleatsNCleavage	Philadelphia@Chicago	100.0	150.0	50.0	WIN 50
ClevelandSteamer	Seattle@Washington	100.0	75.0	-25.0	WIN 20
Cocksmith	Seattle@Washington	175.0	290.0	115.0	WIN 120
Cozmobots	Tennessee@NY Giants	200.0	150.0	-50.0	WIN 50
Creative Destruction	LA Rams@Denver	100.0	150.0	50.0	LOSS 100
DRIFTER	Minnesota@Tampa Bay	—	—	—	—
Dallas Rocks	New England@Jacksonville	200.0	350.0	150.0	LOSS 100
Dart Board	LA Chargers@Buffalo	175.0	215.0	40.0	LOSS 115
Dhackney	Carolina@Cleveland	180.0	30.0	-150.0	WIN 20
Dirty Deeds	Carolina@Cleveland	300.0	600.0	300.0	WIN 50
Duffboy18	Atlanta@Green Bay	200.0	400.0	200.0	LOSS 400
Eatadickup	Las Vegas@New Orleans	130.0	180.0	50.0	LOSS 40
FINKLE IS EINHORN	Seattle@Washington	100.0	130.0	30.0	WIN 80
Football Chic	Cincinnati@Pittsburgh	200.0	250.0	50.0	WIN 25
Frank Rizzo	LA Chargers@Buffalo	175.0	195.0	20.0	LOSS 30
Fred J Boomer	Las Vegas@New Orleans	100.0	200.0	100.0	LOSS 50
Funny Face	Cincinnati@Pittsburgh	125.0	100.0	-25.0	WIN 50
GOLFRUSTY	NY Jets@Detroit	200.0	300.0	100.0	LOSS 125
Gato Del Sol	Tennessee@NY Giants	300.0	400.0	100.0	LOSS 25
Grandpa	Philadelphia@Chicago	200.0	180.0	-20.0	WIN 100
HATED	Tennessee@NY Giants	75.0	150.0	75.0	LOSS 25
Homer	LA Chargers@Buffalo	200.0	250.0	50.0	LOSS 250
HotTaco	Seattle@Washington	200.0	270.0	70.0	WIN 100
I Like Turtles	Tennessee@NY Giants	200.0	350.0	150.0	LOSS 20
ICIPaints4Ever	Kansas City@Miami	125.0	50.0	-75.0	WIN 50
JOTS	LA Rams@Denver	200.0	358.0	158.0	LOSS 38
Jeamer1	Baltimore@Dallas	180.0	130.0	-50.0	LOSS 30
Jeamer2	LA Chargers@Buffalo	180.0	230.0	50.0	LOSS 30
Jim Beam	Kansas City@Miami	100.0	80.0	-20.0	WIN 80
Joe Sanass	Philadelphia@Chicago	225.0	275.0	50.0	WIN 175
Joes Schmoes	LA Rams@Denver	50.0	80.0	30.0	LOSS 20
John Pork	Houston@Indianapolis	250.0	400.0	150.0	LOSS 100
JoycElly	Cincinnati@Pittsburgh	177.0	25.0	-152.0	WIN 25
Juantodome	New England@Jacksonville	—	—	—	—
Juggy Gales	Seattle@Washington	85.0	65.0	-20.0	WIN 20
Jumbo	Baltimore@Dallas	130.0	190.0	60.0	WIN 40
Jumbo Jr	Houston@Indianapolis	180.0	220.0	40.0	WIN 40
Jumbo Sr	Carolina@Cleveland	170.0	20.0	-150.0	WIN 20
KC No More	Seattle@Washington	100.0	50.0	-50.0	WIN 50
Keller 1	Houston@Indianapolis	225.0	300.0	75.0	WIN 50
Keller 2	New England@Jacksonville	250.0	300.0	50.0	LOSS 100
Keller 3	LA Chargers@Buffalo	275.0	225.0	-50.0	LOSS 225
Keller 4	Philadelphia@Chicago	200.0	350.0	150.0	WIN 50
Kentucky Thunder	Cincinnati@Pittsburgh	190.0	80.0	-110.0	WIN 25
Klint Smith 1	Kansas City@Miami	300.0	450.0	150.0	WIN 450
Klint Smith 2	Seattle@Washington	300.0	150.0	-150.0	WIN 150
Klint Smith 3	Tennessee@NY Giants	100.0	200.0	100.0	WIN 200
LAWandFURY	Carolina@Cleveland	230.0	430.0	200.0	WIN 100
LBrooks	Atlanta@Green Bay	65.0	—	—	—
LS5Mike	Carolina@Cleveland	50.0	20.0	-30.0	LOSS 20
LightDem	LA Chargers@Buffalo	170.0	50.0	-120.0	LOSS 50
LoneToc	Cincinnati@Pittsburgh	130.0	—	—	—
Lucas McCain	Minnesota@Tampa Bay	201.0	236.0	35.0	WIN 111
MJS	Arizona@San Francisco	—	—	—	—
Mackville Farmer	Arizona@San Francisco	100.0	—	—	—
Mansa Musa	NY Jets@Detroit	280.0	—	—	—
Mardex	New England@Jacksonville	200.0	250.0	50.0	LOSS 75
Miss Mags 0520	New England@Jacksonville	170.0	240.0	70.0	LOSS 60
Monica Blewbillski	Baltimore@Dallas	200.0	250.0	50.0	WIN 50
Mr Brownstone	Kansas City@Miami	225.0	300.0	75.0	WIN 280
Naumann	Cincinnati@Pittsburgh	250.0	425.0	175.0	WIN 175
Naumann1	LA Rams@Denver	250.0	350.0	100.0	WIN 150
Naumann2	NY Jets@Detroit	50.0	100.0	50.0	LOSS 100
Naumann3	Las Vegas@New Orleans	—	—	—	—
Nightrain	Baltimore@Dallas	175.0	250.0	75.0	WIN 25
POPS 1	LA Rams@Denver	225.0	125.0	-100.0	WIN 50
POPS 3	New England@Jacksonville	200.0	100.0	-100.0	LOSS 50
POPS2	Philadelphia@Chicago	225.0	—	—	—
Patches427	Minnesota@Tampa Bay	225.0	125.0	-100.0	LOSS 125
Pebbles and Bam Bam	Houston@Indianapolis	200.0	400.0	200.0	WIN 150
Peter Draggin	Kansas City@Miami	200.0	400.0	200.0	WIN 400
Peter Gozinya	Seattle@Washington	200.0	400.0	200.0	WIN 400
Phoebe	New England@Jacksonville	130.0	260.0	130.0	LOSS 60
Pleasant Colony	Philadelphia@Chicago	120.0	—	—	—
Pogo 1	Tennessee@NY Giants	300.0	600.0	300.0	LOSS 600
Pogo 2	Las Vegas@New Orleans	300.0	600.0	300.0	LOSS 600
Pogo 3	Houston@Indianapolis	300.0	280.0	-20.0	LOSS 20
Pogo 4	Las Vegas@New Orleans	300.0	600.0	300.0	LOSS 600
Pretty One	Tennessee@NY Giants	200.0	250.0	50.0	LOSS 25
Problem Child	NY Jets@Detroit	125.0	250.0	125.0	LOSS 250
Ravleen's Dream Team	LA Rams@Denver	250.0	450.0	200.0	WIN 150
Ravleen’s Dream Team	LA Rams@Denver	—	—	—	—
Rocket Queen	New England@Jacksonville	200.0	225.0	25.0	LOSS 25
SHARONA	Carolina@Cleveland	175.0	25.0	-150.0	WIN 25
Show me your TDs	Atlanta@Green Bay	130.0	180.0	50.0	LOSS 130
Sin City	Kansas City@Miami	175.0	350.0	175.0	WIN 350
Smart1	Seattle@Washington	125.0	25.0	-100.0	WIN 25
Smart2	Arizona@San Francisco	200.0	325.0	125.0	LOSS 325
Smarty Pants	LA Chargers@Buffalo	200.0	100.0	-100.0	LOSS 100
SneakERASERS	Minnesota@Tampa Bay	120.0	150.0	30.0	LOSS 100
Steelgang	Kansas City@Miami	200.0	250.0	50.0	WIN 100
Sturdy Mud Beggars	Carolina@Cleveland	200.0	250.0	50.0	LOSS 25
Sweet Leaf	Seattle@Washington	250.0	300.0	50.0	WIN 150
TANK	Minnesota@Tampa Bay	300.0	280.0	-20.0	LOSS 20
THE G MEN	Kansas City@Miami	100.0	80.0	-20.0	WIN 80
Terrible timmy	New England@Jacksonville	130.0	155.0	25.0	WIN 20
The Rowdy Beavers	Cincinnati@Pittsburgh	175.0	200.0	25.0	WIN 50
The Sampsons	Tennessee@NY Giants	250.0	350.0	100.0	WIN 50
Theodore Cleaver	Cincinnati@Pittsburgh	215.0	275.0	60.0	WIN 88
Theodore Donald Kerabatsos	Arizona@San Francisco	300.0	600.0	300.0	LOSS 600
TotalERASERS	Seattle@Washington	—	—	—	—
Trails in the Sand	New England@Jacksonville	100.0	200.0	100.0	LOSS 50
WATSONS HAPPY ENDING	Cincinnati@Pittsburgh	100.0	70.0	-30.0	WIN 40
WHATTHEHELL1	Baltimore@Dallas	185.0	285.0	100.0	LOSS 35
Wayne Fontes4	New England@Jacksonville	175.0	100.0	-75.0	LOSS 25
Wildcats	LA Rams@Denver	180.0	210.0	30.0	WIN 50
Wont back down	Houston@Indianapolis	200.0	150.0	-50.0	WIN 50
Ytown Crew	Carolina@Cleveland	250.0	275.0	25.0	WIN 50
bobmilchak1	Philadelphia@Chicago	190.0	380.0	190.0	WIN 130
jerryyedlick1	Kansas City@Miami	200.0	220.0	20.0	WIN 200
kuno	Baltimore@Dallas	125.0	85.0	-40.0	WIN 25
kyles killer lemonade	Cincinnati@Pittsburgh	250.0	200.0	-50.0	WIN 150
kyles killer lemonaid	Cincinnati@Pittsburgh	225.0	325.0	100.0	WIN 325
kyles killer lemonaide	Seattle@Washington	50.0	100.0	50.0	WIN 100
leavster	Philadelphia@Chicago	100.0	160.0	60.0	WIN 30
looking at country	Cincinnati@Pittsburgh	—	—	—	—
luvthebutt	Houston@Indianapolis	200.0	300.0	100.0	WIN 50
mad german	New England@Jacksonville	180.0	—	—	—
man in Blue	Cincinnati@Pittsburgh	180.0	230.0	50.0	WIN 230
man on the move	New England@Jacksonville	190.0	—	—	—
mightyducks	LA Rams@Denver	200.0	250.0	50.0	TIE 20
test	NY Jets@Detroit	170.0	150.0	-20.0	LOSS 150
tomharrold1	Cincinnati@Pittsburgh	125.0	25.0	-100.0	WIN 25
turftoes	Baltimore@Dallas	175.0	350.0	175.0	LOSS 30
victim of changes	Arizona@San Francisco	175.0	225.0	50.0	LOSS 50
victim of chnages	Kansas City@Miami	175.0	225.0	50.0	WIN 100
webSTARslaughter	Cincinnati@Pittsburgh	—	—	—	—
whodey	Las Vegas@New Orleans	170.0	255.0	85.0	LOSS 20
wnysteelie	Atlanta@Green Bay	300.0	600.0	300.0	LOSS 20
yen yang	Philadelphia@Chicago	200.0	250.0	50.0	WIN 50
zwoman	Baltimore@Dallas	225.0	450.0	225.0	WIN 125

Scenario Projector

Season 2026 · Week 3

Assumptions

Field bet % (of current stack) — only used for entries with no bet on file20%

Entries with a real declared pick/bet on file (“bet placed”) use that directly; everyone else is assumed to bet WIN on their assigned team at the field % above. Games left “Not decided” leave that entry unchanged. Spreads reflect whatever's currently recorded (fetch-spread/confirm-spread) — pick’em if none is set yet. Entirely computed in your browser — nothing is sent anywhere.

Projected standings

#	Entry	Entering	Projected	Δ

Simulation

Season 2026 · Week 3 · Monte Carlo, directional not precise

SPM0 pts

Scenario lab — 15 weeks remaining, modeled field 171

Policy	P(1st)	P(top 3)	P(top 10)	Expected payout
Conservative 20% · hold on upsets	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	$0.00
Moderate 30% · take upsets	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	$0.00
Aggressive 45% · take upsets	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	$0.00
All-in on upsets 60% · take upsets	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	$0.00

SPM 2400 pts

Scenario lab — 15 weeks remaining, modeled field 171

Policy	P(1st)	P(top 3)	P(top 10)	Expected payout
Conservative 20% · hold on upsets	5.2%	16.2%	34.8%	$248.20
Moderate 30% · take upsets	10.5%	18.0%	30.0%	$310.25
Aggressive 45% · take upsets	4.8%	10.8%	14.5%	$157.38
All-in on upsets 60% · take upsets	5.5%	6.8%	10.0%	$132.10

SPM 3480 pts

Scenario lab — 15 weeks remaining, modeled field 171

Policy	P(1st)	P(top 3)	P(top 10)	Expected payout
Conservative 20% · hold on upsets	5.8%	17.5%	35.8%	$261.23
Moderate 30% · take upsets	12.5%	21.0%	35.8%	$365.20
Aggressive 45% · take upsets	8.0%	13.5%	19.2%	$220.72
All-in on upsets 60% · take upsets	3.2%	5.5%	9.5%	$92.88